Moon Phase Strategy at a glance
| Kind of rule | A rule of its own (rules-based) |
|---|---|
| Buys or sells | It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. |
| Built on | price only |
| Where it was published | TradingView, by its author, as a Pine Script strategy |
| Tested on | 67 cells: 15 coins, October 2021 to June 2026, no fee |
| Trades placed | none |
| Page updated | 2026-11-08 |
Moon Phase Strategy backtest results, every cell
There is no cloud of cells to draw. The frame below says why.
How Moon Phase Strategy works
Rules in this group usually work like this. This one does not sit in the usual groups. The buy and sell lines below are what it is. Read it the same way as the others: what it assumes, how many trades it took, and what happened on many coins and chart speeds rather than on one. The next paragraph is this particular rule, which can be narrower than the group.
It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. It buys when moon type equals 1. It can also enter the other way. That condition is in the list below. It gets out when moon type equals 1.
Each trade uses 10 percent of the account. It holds one trade at a time.
The exact condition, from the code
Same rule, translated from the code, in the author's names. You can skip this list if the paragraph above was enough.
- Enters long when moon type equals 1.
- Enters short when moon type equals −1.
- Closes the position when moon type equals 1.
- Closes the position when moon type equals −1.
| Buys or sells | It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. |
|---|---|
| Tools it calculates | price only |
| A second chart speed | No. It uses one chart speed only. |
| Only at certain hours | No. |
| Adding to a trade | It holds one trade at a time. |
| How much it trades | Each trade uses 10 percent of the account. |
| Cost the author assumed | The author assumed no trading cost. |
Default settings
The test used the defaults in the middle column. Nothing was turned to help a coin.
The author left no settings adjustable. Every number is fixed in the code.
How the backtest was run
Every strategy was tried the same way, on the settings the author published.
The years are October 2021 to June 2026. The prices are from Bybit, for 13 widely traded coins, mostly on hourly, 4-hour and daily charts, with some faster charts. That was 47,242 tries. The window stored in the files is 2021-09..2026-06.
599 rules produced a finished try. A rule that finished above zero on at least 12 cells, before any fee, was tried again with a fee of 0.12 percent per side. Only buys are counted in that second try. 273 rules got it.
The method, the aggregate results and a downloadable table are on the study page. What the desk does with the results beyond these pages is its own.
Before any fee, it was tried on 67 cells, and it placed no trades.
It was not run a second time with a fee. That second pass happens only when at least 12 cells finished above zero before fees. 273 rules got that pass.
| Cells tried | 67 |
|---|---|
| Cells that placed a trade | 0 |
| Finished above zero | 0 |
Label: backtest · old prices, zero commission · Oct 2021 – Jun 2026. Hypothetical results; see the risk disclosure.
How to read the result
How to read the number
No cell took a trade, so there is no return to read. The rule above is the whole note.
What this does not show
The useful question is what the rule assumes, how many trades it took, and what happened across coins and chart speeds rather than in one cell.
There is no cell to single out, and this note does not invent one. Other years, another exchange, or another fee would be a different measurement.
Questions about Moon Phase Strategy
What is Moon Phase Strategy?
Moon Phase Strategy is a rules-based trading strategy published on TradingView as a Pine Script. In plain terms it is a rule of the kind this site calls a rule of its own. It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. It is built on price only. This page reads the rules from the code and reports what they did on old crypto prices.
How does Moon Phase Strategy work?
It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. It buys when moon type equals 1. It can also enter the other way. That condition is in the list below. It gets out when moon type equals 1.
Is Moon Phase Strategy profitable in a backtest?
There is no result to judge. The rule was tried on 67 cells and never placed a trade, usually because a condition never came true on these coins and chart speeds with the author's default settings.
Where can I find the Moon Phase Strategy script?
It is published on TradingView by its author. Search TradingView for the title to find the original script. This page is an independent reading and is not affiliated with the author.
What does backtest mean on this page?
Backtest means the rule was replayed on old prices from Bybit. No real money moved. Every number on this page carries that label, and old prices do not promise anything about new ones.
Words used on this page
- Backtest
- The rule was tried on old prices. No real money moved.
- Cell
- One coin on one chart speed. Bitcoin every 4 hours is one cell. Bitcoin once a day is another.
- Chart speed
- How often a new price bar is drawn. 15m means every 15 minutes, 1h means hourly, 4h means every 4 hours, 1D means once a day.
- Fee, per side
- A cost taken each time the rule trades. Per side means once on the way in and once on the way out.
- Median
- Line the cells up from the biggest loss to the biggest gain. The median is the middle one. Half the cells did better and half did worse.
- Drawdown
- The deepest fall from a high point along the way, as a percent of the account at that high.
- Above zero
- The account finished with more than it started.
"Moon Phase Strategy" was published on TradingView by its author, under the author's own license. This page is an independent reading of those rules and of what they did on these old prices. It is not written with the author, and it is not a recommendation. Not every detail survives the translation onto this page, so read the original before you rely on it.