Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target)

Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target) at a glance

Kind of rule	Time of day (session and opening range)
Buys or sells	It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices.
Built on	SMA
Where it was published	TradingView, by its author, as a Pine Script strategy
Tested on	67 cells: 15 coins, October 2021 to June 2026, no fee
Cells that placed a trade	38 of 67
Middle result before fees	−14.9%
Cells above zero	1 of 38
Middle drawdown before fees	15.5%
Page updated	2026-11-08

Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target) backtest results, every cell

Every cell is in the picture, not only the strongest. To the right of the black line is above zero. The orange line, when you see one, is the middle.

How Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target) works

Rules in this group usually work like this. It only acts during set hours, such as the London or New York morning. Crypto never closes, so those hours are a choice, not a fact of the market. The question is whether those hours behave the same way on more than one coin. The next paragraph is this particular rule, which can be narrower than the group.

It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. It acts only when several checks agree at once. It leans on SMA; those names are explained on their own pages, further down. The exact line is in the list below, in the author's names, and you can skip that list. It gets out when the previous .

Each trade uses a fixed size of 1. It holds one trade at a time.

The exact condition, from the code

Same rule, translated from the code, in the author's names. You can skip this list if the paragraph above was enough.

• Enters short when state equals 2 and state direction equals −1 and (the close is above the open or the close is above ((the high + the low) / 2)) and (the high − the low) is above 0 and ((the high − the low) / (the high − the low)) is at or below (Max Pullback Depth % of FT move (50) / 100) and ((the high + Tick Size (0.25)) − (the low − Tick Size (0.25))) is above 0 and ((the high + Tick Size (0.25)) − (the low − Tick Size (0.25))) ….
• Enters long when state equals 2 and not (state direction equals −1) and state direction equals 1 and (the close is below the open or the close is below ((the high + the low) / 2)) and (the larger of state rev high and the previous high − the low) is above 0 and ((the larger of state rev high and the previous high − the low) / (the larger of state rev high and the previous high − the low)) is at or below (Max Pullback Depth % of FT ….
• On entry, places a stop at (the high + Tick Size (0.25)), a target at ((the low − Tick Size (0.25)) − (((state rev high + Tick Size (0.25)) − (the low − Tick Size (0.25))) × 2)).
• On entry, places a stop at (the low − Tick Size (0.25)), a target at ((the high + Tick Size (0.25)) + (((the high + Tick Size (0.25)) − (state rev low − Tick Size (0.25))) × 2)).
• Closes the position when the previous .

Buys or sells	It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices.
Tools it calculates	SMA
A second chart speed	No. It uses one chart speed only.
Only at certain hours	Yes. It only acts during set hours.
Adding to a trade	It holds one trade at a time.
How much it trades	Each trade uses a fixed size of 1.
Cost the author assumed	The author assumed a trading cost of 2.5 per contract.

Default settings

The test used the defaults in the middle column. Nothing was turned to help a coin.

Setting	Default	Group
RTH Session	0930-1600	Session
Overnight Session	1800-0930	Session
Timezone	America/New_York	Session
Max Bars After Open (only trade within)	30	Session
Key Level Zone (± points)	2	Key Levels
Min Failure Evidence Count	3	Failure Evidence
Min Signal Bar Score	4	Signal Bar
Follow-through Min Body % of Range	60	Follow-through
Follow-through Window (bars after Signal)	2	Follow-through
Max Bars to Wait for Pullback	3	Pullback
Max Pullback Depth % of FT move	50	Pullback
Max Trades Per Day	2	Risk
Tick Size	0.25	Risk
Signal must appear before bar #	15	Time Filter

How the backtest was run

Every strategy was tried the same way, on the settings the author published.

The years are October 2021 to June 2026. The prices are from Bybit, for 13 widely traded coins, mostly on hourly, 4-hour and daily charts, with some faster charts. That was 47,242 tries. The window stored in the files is 2021-09..2026-06.

599 rules produced a finished try. A rule that finished above zero on at least 12 cells, before any fee, was tried again with a fee of 0.12 percent per side. Only buys are counted in that second try. 273 rules got it.

The method, the aggregate results and a downloadable table are on the study page. What the desk does with the results beyond these pages is its own.

Before any fee, it was tried on 67 cells. It placed a trade on 38 of them. 1 of the cells that traded finished above zero (2.6%).

It was not run a second time with a fee. That second pass happens only when at least 12 cells finished above zero before fees. 273 rules got that pass.

Cells tried	67
Cells that placed a trade	38
Finished above zero	1 (2.6% of the cells that traded)
Middle result, before fees	−14.9%
Strongest cell, the top of the range	ETH 4-hour: +0.2%
Weakest cell, the bottom of the range	BCH 15-minute: −77.3%
Middle drawdown, before fees	15.5%

Label: backtest · old prices, zero commission · Oct 2021 – Jun 2026. Hypothetical results; see the risk disclosure.

How to read the result

How to read the number

The median of every cell that traded is the result. No fee has been taken off, so the number is a ceiling. A fee comes off each trade, and this page does not guess that cost, because this rule did not get the second pass where the fee is applied. The weakest and the strongest cells are not a result on their own.

The middle drawdown, on the cells that traded, was 15.5%.

What this does not show

The useful question is whether the same hours work on other coins. Crypto has no closing bell, so the hour is a choice.

Nothing on this page was fit to the cell that finished highest. One coin, one chart speed, or one strong stretch is a single row. It is not the rule. Other years, another exchange, or another fee would be a different measurement.

Questions about Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target)

Words used on this page

Backtest

The rule was tried on old prices. No real money moved.

Cell

One coin on one chart speed. Bitcoin every 4 hours is one cell. Bitcoin once a day is another.

Chart speed

How often a new price bar is drawn. 15m means every 15 minutes, 1h means hourly, 4h means every 4 hours, 1D means once a day.

Fee, per side

A cost taken each time the rule trades. Per side means once on the way in and once on the way out.

Median

Line the cells up from the biggest loss to the biggest gain. The median is the middle one. Half the cells did better and half did worse.

Drawdown

The deepest fall from a high point along the way, as a percent of the account at that high.

Above zero

The account finished with more than it started.

The indicators Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target) uses

Each has its own page: what it measures, how it is read, where it misleads.

• Simple moving average (SMA): the plainest average, and why it still runs half the strategies

"Opening Reversal - Model B (2R Target)" was published on TradingView by its author, under the author's own license. This page is an independent reading of those rules and of what they did on these old prices. It is not written with the author, and it is not a recommendation. Not every detail survives the translation onto this page, so read the original before you rely on it.