Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6)

Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6) at a glance

Kind of rule	Joining a move (trend following)
Buys or sells	It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices.
Built on	Hull MA, MACD, Pivot points, RSI, SMA, WMA, pivot low
Where it was published	TradingView, by its author, as a Pine Script strategy
Tested on	21 cells: 15 coins, October 2021 to June 2026, no fee
Cells that placed a trade	14 of 21
Middle result before fees	−0.0%
Cells above zero	2 of 14
Middle drawdown before fees	0.0%
Page updated	2026-11-08

Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6) backtest results, every cell

Every cell is in the picture, not only the strongest. To the right of the black line is above zero. The orange line, when you see one, is the middle.

How Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6) works

Rules in this group usually work like this. It waits until price is already moving, then joins that move. It is wrong in small ways many times, and right in a large way a few times. The hard part is the stretch where price chops around and every entry is a fake. The next paragraph is this particular rule, which can be narrower than the group.

It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices. It acts only when several checks agree at once. It leans on Hull MA, MACD, pivot low, RSI; those names are explained on their own pages, further down. The exact line is in the list below, in the author's names, and you can skip that list. When it enters, it also sets a stop or a target, so a trade can close without a new signal.

The author did not set a size, so each trade uses whatever amount the code assumes. It holds one trade at a time.

The exact condition, from the code

Same rule, translated from the code, in the author's names. You can skip this list if the paragraph above was enough.

• Enters long when price between and the MACD histogram is below 0 and rsi9 crosses above RSI wma21 and RSI ma3 crosses above RSI wma21 and no position is open.
• Enters short when a long position is open and not (partial done) and ((100 × (the close on the 'D' timeframe − the previous close on the 'D' timeframe)) / the previous close on the 'D' timeframe) is at or above Partial Exit Trigger: Daily % Up (3).
• Enters long when a long position is open and partial done and not (reentry done) and ((100 × (the close on the 'D' timeframe − the previous close on the 'D' timeframe)) / the previous close on the 'D' timeframe) is at or below −Re-entry Trigger: Daily % Down (3).
• Places a stop at last swing low, a target at the highest high of the previous 26 bars when a long position is open.

Buys or sells	It can buy, and it can bet on falling prices.
Tools it calculates	Hull MA, MACD, Pivot points, RSI, SMA, WMA, pivot low
A second chart speed	Yes. It also looks at a second chart speed.
Only at certain hours	No.
Adding to a trade	It holds one trade at a time.
How much it trades	The author did not set a size, so each trade uses whatever amount the code assumes.
Cost the author assumed	The author assumed a trading cost of 0.05 percent per side.

Default settings

The test used the defaults in the middle column. Nothing was turned to help a coin.

Setting	Default	Group
HMA Length 1	30
HMA Length 2	44
MACD Fast	21
MACD Slow	3
MACD Signal	9
RSI Length	9
RSI MA Length	3
RSI WMA Length	21
Swing Low Left Bars	2
Swing Low Right Bars	2
Target = Highest High Lookback (weeks)	26
Partial Exit % (of initial position)	20
Partial Exit Trigger: Daily % Up	3
Re-entry % (of initial position)	10
Re-entry Trigger: Daily % Down	3

How the backtest was run

Every strategy was tried the same way, on the settings the author published.

The years are October 2021 to June 2026. The prices are from Bybit, for 13 widely traded coins, mostly on hourly, 4-hour and daily charts, with some faster charts. That was 47,242 tries. The window stored in the files is 2021-09..2026-06.

599 rules produced a finished try. A rule that finished above zero on at least 12 cells, before any fee, was tried again with a fee of 0.12 percent per side. Only buys are counted in that second try. 273 rules got it.

The method, the aggregate results and a downloadable table are on the study page. What the desk does with the results beyond these pages is its own.

Before any fee, it was tried on 21 cells. It placed a trade on 14 of them. 2 of the cells that traded finished above zero (14.3%).

It was not run a second time with a fee. That second pass happens only when at least 12 cells finished above zero before fees. 273 rules got that pass.

Cells tried	21
Cells that placed a trade	14
Finished above zero	2 (14.3% of the cells that traded)
Middle result, before fees	−0.0%
Strongest cell, the top of the range	ADA daily: +0.0%
Weakest cell, the bottom of the range	BTC 4-hour: −14.6%
Middle drawdown, before fees	0.0%

Label: backtest · old prices, zero commission · Oct 2021 – Jun 2026. Hypothetical results; see the risk disclosure.

How to read the result

How to read the number

The median of every cell that traded is the result. No fee has been taken off, so the number is a ceiling. A fee comes off each trade, and this page does not guess that cost, because this rule did not get the second pass where the fee is applied. The weakest and the strongest cells are not a result on their own.

The middle drawdown, on the cells that traded, was 0.0%.

What this does not show

The useful question, for a rule that joins a move already underway, is what it gave back in the choppy months when there was no trend to join.

Nothing on this page was fit to the cell that finished highest. One coin, one chart speed, or one strong stretch is a single row. It is not the rule. Other years, another exchange, or another fee would be a different measurement.

Questions about Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6)

Words used on this page

Backtest

The rule was tried on old prices. No real money moved.

Cell

One coin on one chart speed. Bitcoin every 4 hours is one cell. Bitcoin once a day is another.

Chart speed

How often a new price bar is drawn. 15m means every 15 minutes, 1h means hourly, 4h means every 4 hours, 1D means once a day.

Fee, per side

A cost taken each time the rule trades. Per side means once on the way in and once on the way out.

Median

Line the cells up from the biggest loss to the biggest gain. The median is the middle one. Half the cells did better and half did worse.

Drawdown

The deepest fall from a high point along the way, as a percent of the account at that high.

Above zero

The account finished with more than it started.

The indicators Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6) uses

Each has its own page: what it measures, how it is read, where it misleads.

• Hull moving average (HMA): how it removes lag, and what it costs
• MACD: two EMAs, a signal line and a histogram, read correctly
• Pivot points: swing pivots and floor-trader pivots, two different things with one name
• RSI (relative strength index): the formula, the 70/30 rule, and why it misleads in trends
• Simple moving average (SMA): the plainest average, and why it still runs half the strategies
• Weighted moving average (WMA): linear weights, less lag, and the price of it

"Triple Confirmation System (Weekly) — Backtest (v6)" was published on TradingView by its author, under the author's own license. This page is an independent reading of those rules and of what they did on these old prices. It is not written with the author, and it is not a recommendation. Not every detail survives the translation onto this page, so read the original before you rely on it.